LPS’ April Mortgage Monitor: Judicial States’ Foreclosure Sales Rate Highest Since 2010; Loans Still Delinquent Nearly Three Years Before Sale
JACKSONVILLE, FL (June 6, 2013) The April Mortgage Monitor report released by Lender Processing Services (NYSE: LPS) found that the rate of foreclosure sales (i.e., completion of the foreclosure process) in judicial foreclosure states hit its highest point since 2010. However, the length of time that process is taking — as well as the disparity in foreclosure timelines between judicial and non-judicial states — continues to grow. Still, as LPS Applied Analytics Senior Vice President Herb Blecher explained, the steady return to a relative degree of normality in the foreclosure sale rate has helped to bring down foreclosure inventories at the national level.
“The foreclosure sale rate in judicial states rose nearly 17 percent from March to April,” Blecher said. “This is the highest that rate has been since the moratoria and process reviews in the fall of 2010 led to a near-complete halt in the process in both judicial and non-judicial states. Non-judicial rates were relatively quick to bounce back, but judicial states experienced a much slower, though steady, increase. This has helped drive an overall decline in foreclosure inventory at the national level, which is now at 3.2 percent — its lowest point in four years.
“The situation is far from resolved,” Blecher stressed. “Foreclosure inventories in judicial states are still more than three times the size of those in non-judicial states, and national inventories are still more than seven times pre-crisis levels. Additionally, recently announced moratoria will need to be monitored to determine the impact on timelines, as well as the rate of the improvement trend.”
LPS also looked at prepayment speeds (historically, a good indicator of refinance activity), and found that prepayment speeds have stayed elevated as interest rates remain near record lows, though they are down from recent historic highs. In particular, loan vintages from 2009 and earlier are prepaying at historically high speeds, because borrowers are selling their homes and taking advantage of recent home price increases, or refinancing through HARP. More recent vintages are showing signs of potential “burnout,” with borrowers having already taken what advantage they could of the current rate environment. In addition, liquidity for lower credit borrowers has been steadily increasing, as the data showed prepayment speeds for credit scores under 720 increased 20-30 percent on a year-over-year basis, as compared to just 7 percent for borrowers with credit scores of 720 and above.
As reported in LPS’ First Look release, other key results from LPS’ latest Mortgage Monitor report include:
Total U.S. loan delinquency rate: 6.21%
Month-over-month change in delinquency rate: -5.81%
Total U.S. foreclosure presale inventory rate: 3.17%
Month-over-month change in foreclosure pre-sale inventory rate: -5.83%
States with highest percentage of non-current* loans: FL, NJ, MS, NV, NY
States with the lowest percentage of non-current* loans: MT, WY, AK, SD, ND
*Non-current totals combine foreclosures and delinquencies as a percent of active loans in that state.
Totals are extrapolated based on LPS Applied Analytics’ loan-level database of mortgage assets.
To view the Mortgage Monitor Snapshot, LPS’ new video version of the Mortgage Monitor, visit http://www.lpsvcs.com/LPSCorporateInformation/MultimediaLibrary/Pages/Video-Library.aspx?ListName=Video&ItemName=MMApril1-3_1.wmv
About the Mortgage Monitor
LPS manages the nation’s leading repository of loan-level residential mortgage data and performance information on nearly 40 million loans across the spectrum of credit products. The company’s research experts carefully analyze this data to produce a summary supplemented by dozens of charts and graphs that reflect trend and point-in-time observations for LPS’ monthly Mortgage Monitor Report. To review the full report, visit http://www.lpsvcs.com/LPSCorporateInformation/CommunicationCenter/DataReports/Pages/Mortgage-Monitor.aspx
About Lender Processing Services
Lender Processing Services (NYSE: LPS) delivers comprehensive technology solutions and services, as well as powerful data and analytics, to the nation’s top mortgage lenders, servicers and investors. As a proven and trusted partner with deep client relationships, LPS offers the only end-to-end suite of solutions that provides major U.S. banks and many federal government agencies the technology and data needed to support mortgage lending and servicing operations, meet unique regulatory and compliance requirements and mitigate risk. These integrated solutions support origination, servicing, portfolio retention and default servicing. LPS’ servicing solutions include MSP, the industry’s leading loan-servicing platform. The company also provides proprietary data and analytics for the mortgage, real estate and capital markets industries. LPS is a Fortune 1000 company headquartered in Jacksonville, Fla., and employs approximately 7,500 professionals. For more information, please visit www.lpsvcs.com.