Election Special!

It is now 15 days ‘till the general election! We see four apparent electoral scenarios (Democratic control of the House of Representatives does not appear to be contested):

• Republicans hold the Senate and the White House
• Republicans hold the Senate, but Democrats take the White House
• Democrats take the Senate and the White House
• Democrats take the Senate and Republicans hold the White House

We imagine there could be a fifth scenario—a contested Presidential election that throws everything off-kilter. However, it is our opinion that a scenario such as a seriously contested election has lessened quite a bit over the last few weeks. Perhaps it is because polls show Vice President Biden widening his lead nationally and in many swing-states. However, after 2016, we take the polls with a grain of salt. They should get it right a few times before we truly respect them again. We do, however, feel that despite a lot of hoopla, votes will be counted, and a legitimate election result will be confirmed. It may take a few days past Election Day, but not too long.

 

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